Oil Jan09/Feb09 diff $5.50 at Jan09 expiration

Oil continued its downward march Thursday as mass layoffs pushed the U.S. economy deeper into recession, signaling a drastic pullback on energy spending.

Light, sweet crude for February delivery, fell $2.94 to settle at $41.67 barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The January contract, which closes on Friday, fell 9 percent, or $3.84, to settle at $36.22 after dropping as low as $35.98, levels last seen in June 2004.

There is no demand for oil right now, said analyst Peter Beutel of Cameron Hanover.

asr: Jan09 contract expired in one day that is expired on Friday-12-19-09 traded at 36.80
where as Feb09 contract ( month to expire) traded at 42.45
- so the contract diff is $5.50 seems huge, the below is explanation, for last one week the diff may by 1.50 some time , that is good trade for SHORT-Jan09/LONG-Feb09 for a profit of $3k atleast. below is explanation

Higher prices for the February contract suggest that oil brokers and traders believe OPEC's unprecedented 2.2 million-barrel daily production cut, announced Wednesday, will tighten supply. The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries had already taken 2 million barrels of oil out of production, bringing total cuts to more than 4 million barrels per day.

"The market is saying OPEC cuts will have an impact but just not right away," he said.

Analyst and trader Stephen Schork said, "The only people still holding on to January contracts are those who made the assumption that $40 per barrel would hold. Those people are losing their shirts."

Schork said crude prices have further to fall.